GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Pro League · · 18:00
versus

Al Khaleej Saihat
Al Shabab

Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium
00
Full time
68%
Both teams to score
AL35
Draw24
SH41
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,61Raw implied probability38,3%Sum of the 1X2 book108,5%Operator margin removed−8,5 ptsDe-margined consensus35%Our model34.8%Measured gap−0.2 pp
Markets carrying a signal2 / 70
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Over 3.0 goals57%47%+10
Under 3.0 goals43%53%−10
Over 2.0 goals82.9%74%+8.9
Under 2.0 goals17.1%26%−8.9
Over 2.5 goals66.4%59%+7.4
Under 2.5 goals33.6%41%−7.4
Over 1.5 goals86.3%79%+7.3
Under 1.5 goals13.7%21%−7.3
Away over 2.0 goals36.3%29%+7.3
Away under 2.0 goals63.7%71%−7.3
Away under 1.0 goals23.8%31%−7.2
Away over 1.0 goals76%69%+7

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

AL AL
SHASHA
Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium
00
Full time

Final result

i
Refuted68%Both teams to score · announced before kick-off
35%
Win AL
24%
Draw
what happened
41%
Win SHA
35%at opening35%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
12.842.61-0.23%
X3.753.60-0.15%
22.202.36+0.16%

Model outputs by market

i
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Over 3.0 goals3Interesting80Over 3.0 goals57%47%
57
+10pp
Over 2.0 goals2Interesting76.7Over 2.0 goals82.9%74%
57
+8.9pp
Home winHome win34.8%35%
57
-0.2pp
DrawDraw24%26%
57
-2pp
Away winAway win41.2%39%
57
+2.2pp
Home or drawHome or draw58.8%62%
57
-3.2pp
Home or awayHome or away76%74%
57
+2pp
Draw or awayDraw or away65.2%64%
57
+1.2pp
Home draw no betHome draw no bet45.8%48%
57
-2.2pp
Away draw no betAway draw no bet54.2%52%
57
+2.2pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 38%model 35%-3pp
Xmarket 28%model 24%-4pp
2market 42%model 41%-1pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
70
Eligible
70
With a price
70
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.