Odds · 12,61Raw implied probability38,3%Sum of the 1X2 book108,5%Operator margin removed−8,5 ptsDe-margined consensus35%Our model34.8%Measured gap−0.2 pp
2 / 70
Over 3.0 goals—57%47%+10
Under 3.0 goals—43%53%−10
Over 2.0 goals—82.9%74%+8.9
Under 2.0 goals—17.1%26%−8.9
Over 2.5 goals—66.4%59%+7.4
Under 2.5 goals—33.6%41%−7.4
Over 1.5 goals—86.3%79%+7.3
Under 1.5 goals—13.7%21%−7.3
Away over 2.0 goals—36.3%29%+7.3
Away under 2.0 goals—63.7%71%−7.3
Away under 1.0 goals—23.8%31%−7.2
Away over 1.0 goals—76%69%+7
A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.