GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇪🇸 La Liga · · 17:30
versus

Valencia
Celta Vigo

Estadio de Mestalla
00
Full time
54%
Both teams to score
VA47
Draw24
CE29
Why
Valencia has won 4 of its last 6
What could fool us
Celta Vigo's attack sits at the 73th percentile of the league
Valencia has 12 declared absences
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Valencia at 47%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

VALVAL
CELCEL
Estadio de Mestalla
00
Full time

Final result

i
Refuted54%Both teams to score · announced before kick-off
47%
Win VAL
24%
Draw
what happened
29%
Win CEL
43%at opening47%at kick-off+4 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Why

  • Valencia has won 4 of its last 6

What could mislead us

  • Celta Vigo's attack sits at the 73th percentile of the league
  • Valencia has 12 declared absences
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Home over 1.0 goals1Strength 88.4/100
Home over 1.0 goals
Model
68.8%
Market
56%
Divergence
+12.8

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 68.8%, the market at 56%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

8 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

iRound 21
#TeamPGDFormPts
2FCBBarcelona21+34
WWDWL
0
17VALValencia21-15
LDLWL
0

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Valencia at 47%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions