GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇪🇸 La Liga · · 17:30
versus

Valencia
Celta Vigo

Estadio de Mestalla
00
Full time
54%
Both teams to score
VA47
Draw24
CE29
Head to head
2
VAL
2
Draw
4
CEL
avr. 2026VALCEL23
janv. 2026CELVAL41
févr. 2025VALCEL21
août 2024CELVAL31
mai 2024CELVAL22
janv. 2024VALCEL13
nov. 2023VALCEL00
mai 2023CELVAL12

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h47%
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
2FC Barcelona8445+34
17Valencia CF6318−15
VALVAL
CELCEL
Estadio de Mestalla
00
Full time

Final result

i
Refuted54%Both teams to score · announced before kick-off
47%
Win VAL
24%
Draw
what happened
29%
Win CEL
43%at opening47%at kick-off+4 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()

Evolution over time

i
VA winDrawCE win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260822_af-1570352_210805hv1.9.354%51%

What would have to change

i21.4 pt span
Red card4725.9-21.1
Opponent scores first4744.2-2.8
Key substitution4746-1
High tempo4746.6-0.4
Low tempo4747.3+0.3
Early goal47470

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Head to head

i
2
VA wins
2
Draws
4
CE wins
5 Apr 2026VALCEL23
3 Jan 2026CELVAL41
2 Feb 2025VALCEL21
23 Aug 2024CELVAL31
26 May 2024CELVAL22
17 Jan 2024VALCEL13
25 Nov 2023VALCEL00
14 May 2023CELVAL12

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

Notes

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