GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇪🇸 La Liga · · 19:00
versus

Rayo Vallecano
Alaves

Estadio Municipal de Butarque · Referee j-munuera
11
Full time
55%
Victoire Rayo Vallecano
RA55
Draw24
AL21
Why

No supporting factor is published for this fixture. A factor is a measured weight, and the engine publishes none until it holds enough history on both sides — an empty column is a gap in the record, not a conclusion about the fixture.

What could fool us
Rayo Vallecano has 6 declared absences
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Rayo Vallecano at 55%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

RAYRAY
ALAALA
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
11
Full time

Final result

i
Refuted55%Rayo Vallecano win · announced before kick-off
55%
Win RAY
24%
Draw
what happened
21%
Win ALA
43%at opening55%at kick-off+12 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Why

    What could mislead us

    • Rayo Vallecano has 6 declared absences
    • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

    Key signals

    i

    Leading market

    High Signal
    1X2Strength 89/100
    Home win
    Model
    55%
    Market
    42%
    Divergence
    +13

    Why this level

    • The model prices this at 55%, the market at 42%.

    What holds it back

    • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

    2 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

    Context snapshot

    Referee
    j-munuera
    Pitch
    Rest advantage
    Fatigue —
    Travel

    Standings

    iRound 21
    #TeamPGDFormPts

    AI Reasoning

    iExplanation layer

    The model prices Rayo Vallecano at 55%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

    Limits & assumptions