GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇪🇸 La Liga · — · 19:00
versus

Rayo Vallecano
Alaves

Estadio Municipal de Butarque · Referee j-munuera
1 – 1
Full time
55%
Victoire Rayo Vallecano
RA55
Draw24
AL21
Head to head
5
RAY
0
Draw
3
ALA
mai 2026ALA — RAY1 – 2
janv. 2026ALA — RAY2 – 0
oct. 2025RAY — ALA1 – 0
mars 2025ALA — RAY0 – 2
oct. 2024RAY — ALA1 – 0
mars 2024ALA — RAY1 – 0
sept. 2023RAY — ALA2 – 0
avr. 2022ALA — RAY1 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h55%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
2FC Barcelona8445+34
17Valencia CF6318−15
La Liga · 21:00
RAYRAY
ALAALA
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
1 – 1
Full time

Final result

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Refuted✕55%Rayo Vallecano win · announced before kick-off
55%
Win RAY
24%
Draw
what happened
21%
Win ALA
43%at opening→55%at kick-off+12 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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RA winDrawAL win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260820_af-1570351_210805hv1.9.354%62%

What would have to change

i21.6 pt span
Red card55 → 33.9-21.1
Opponent scores first55 → 52.2-2.8
Key substitution55 → 54-1
High tempo55 → 55.5+0.5
Low tempo55 → 54.6-0.4
Early goal55 → 550

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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5
RA wins
0
Draws
3
AL wins
23 May 2026ALA — RAY1 – 2
14 Jan 2026ALA — RAY2 – 0
26 Oct 2025RAY — ALA1 – 0
29 Mar 2025ALA — RAY0 – 2
26 Oct 2024RAY — ALA1 – 0
10 Mar 2024ALA — RAY1 – 0
15 Sept 2023RAY — ALA2 – 0
16 Apr 2022ALA — RAY1 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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