Market — RAY vs ALA | GrabbleStats

La Liga · 21:00

RAY

ALA

Estadio Municipal de Butarque

1 – 1

Full time

Final result

Refuted✕55%Rayo Vallecano win · announced before kick-off

55%

Win RAY

24%

Draw

what happened

21%

Win ALA

43%at opening→55%at kick-off+12 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Odds & Market

Live

Market	Opening	Current	Movement
1	2.28	2.28	•0%
X	3.02	3.02	•0%
2	3.55	3.55	•0%

Market analysis

Model outputs by market

Market Explorer

Market	Signal	Model lean	Model	Market	Confidence	Divergence
1X2	High Signal89	Home win	55%	42%	74	▲+13pp
Total goals2.5	Interesting74	Under 2.5 goals	55%	63%	74	▼-8pp
Home win	—	Home win	55%	—	74	No price
Draw	—	Draw	23.9%	—	74	No price
Away win	—	Away win	21.1%	—	74	No price
Home or draw	—	Home or draw	78.9%	—	74	No price
Home or away	—	Home or away	76.1%	—	74	No price
Draw or away	—	Draw or away	45%	—	74	No price
Home draw no bet	—	Home draw no bet	55%	—	74	No price
Away draw no bet	—	Away draw no bet	21.1%	—	74	No price

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

1market 44%model 55%▲+11pp

Xmarket 33%model 24%▼-9pp

2market 28%model 21%▼-7pp

Market coverage for this fixture

Markets classified

127

Eligible

127

With a price

Data quality

60%

No price is published for this fixture. The analysis stays available; model / market divergence cannot be computed and is never estimated.

Sort byWith a signal(2)

Market	Signal	Line	Model lean	Model	Market	Divergence	Model confidence	Data quality	Status
Home win Level 2	—	—	—	55%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Draw Level 2	—	—	—	23.9%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away win Level 2	—	—	—	21.1%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home or draw Level 2	—	—	—	78.9%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home or away Level 2	—	—	—	76.1%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Draw or away Level 2	—	—	—	45%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home draw no bet Level 2	—	—	—	55%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away draw no bet Level 2	—	—	—	21.1%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Both teams to score Level 2	—	—	—	46.4%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Both teams to score: no Level 2	—	—	—	53.6%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Over 0.5 goals Level 2	—	0.5	—	92.2%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Under 0.5 goals Level 2	—	0.5	—	7.8%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Over 1.0 goals Level 2	—	1	—	70.7%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Under 1.0 goals Level 2	—	1	—	7.8%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Over 1.5 goals Level 2	—	1.5	—	70.7%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Under 1.5 goals Level 2	—	1.5	—	29.3%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Over 2.0 goals Level 2	—	2	—	45.5%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Under 2.0 goals Level 2	—	2	—	29.3%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Over 2.5 goals Level 2	—	2.5	—	45.5%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Under 2.5 goals Level 2	—	2.5	—	54.5%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Over 3.0 goals Level 2	—	3	—	24.1%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Under 3.0 goals Level 2	—	3	—	54.5%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Over 3.5 goals Level 2	—	3.5	—	24.1%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Under 3.5 goals Level 2	—	3.5	—	75.9%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Over 4.0 goals Level 2	—	4	—	10.8%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Under 4.0 goals Level 2	—	4	—	75.9%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Over 4.5 goals Level 2	—	4.5	—	10.8%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Under 4.5 goals Level 2	—	4.5	—	89.2%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Over 5.0 goals Level 2	—	5	—	4.2%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Under 5.0 goals Level 2	—	5	—	89.2%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Over 5.5 goals Level 2	—	5.5	—	4.2%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Under 5.5 goals Level 2	—	5.5	—	95.8%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Over 6.0 goals Level 2	—	6	—	1.4%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Under 6.0 goals Level 2	—	6	—	95.8%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Over 6.5 goals Level 2	—	6.5	—	1.4%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Under 6.5 goals Level 2	—	6.5	—	98.6%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home over 0.5 goals Level 2	—	0.5	—	80%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home under 0.5 goals Level 2	—	0.5	—	20%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home over 1.0 goals Level 2	—	1	—	47.8%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home under 1.0 goals Level 2	—	1	—	20%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home over 1.5 goals Level 2	—	1.5	—	47.8%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home under 1.5 goals Level 2	—	1.5	—	52.2%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home over 2.0 goals Level 2	—	2	—	21.9%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home under 2.0 goals Level 2	—	2	—	52.2%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home over 2.5 goals Level 2	—	2.5	—	21.9%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home under 2.5 goals Level 2	—	2.5	—	78.1%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home over 3.0 goals Level 2	—	3	—	8%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home under 3.0 goals Level 2	—	3	—	78.1%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home over 3.5 goals Level 2	—	3.5	—	8%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home under 3.5 goals Level 2	—	3.5	—	92%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home over 4.0 goals Level 2	—	4	—	2.4%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home under 4.0 goals Level 2	—	4	—	92%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home over 4.5 goals Level 2	—	4.5	—	2.4%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home under 4.5 goals Level 2	—	4.5	—	97.6%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home over 5.0 goals Level 2	—	5	—	0.6%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home under 5.0 goals Level 2	—	5	—	97.6%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home over 5.5 goals Level 2	—	5.5	—	0.6%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home under 5.5 goals Level 2	—	5.5	—	99.4%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away over 0.5 goals Level 2	—	0.5	—	58.7%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away under 0.5 goals Level 2	—	0.5	—	41.3%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away over 1.0 goals Level 2	—	1	—	22.1%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away under 1.0 goals Level 2	—	1	—	41.3%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away over 1.5 goals Level 2	—	1.5	—	22.1%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away under 1.5 goals Level 2	—	1.5	—	77.9%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away over 2.0 goals Level 2	—	2	—	6%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away under 2.0 goals Level 2	—	2	—	77.9%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away over 2.5 goals Level 2	—	2.5	—	6%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away under 2.5 goals Level 2	—	2.5	—	94%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away over 3.0 goals Level 2	—	3	—	1.3%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away under 3.0 goals Level 2	—	3	—	94%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away over 3.5 goals Level 2	—	3.5	—	1.3%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away under 3.5 goals Level 2	—	3.5	—	98.7%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home -4.5 Level 2	—	-4.5	—	1.3%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away +4.5 -4.5 Level 2	—	-4.5	—	98.7%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home -4.0 Level 2	—	-4	—	1.3%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away +4.0 -4 Level 2	—	-4	—	95.7%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home -3.5 Level 2	—	-3.5	—	4.3%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away +3.5 -3.5 Level 2	—	-3.5	—	95.7%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home -3.0 Level 2	—	-3	—	4.3%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away +3.0 -3 Level 2	—	-3	—	87.6%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home -2.5 Level 2	—	-2.5	—	12.4%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away +2.5 -2.5 Level 2	—	-2.5	—	87.6%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home -2.0 Level 2	—	-2	—	12.4%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away +2.0 -2 Level 2	—	-2	—	70.8%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home -1.5 Level 2	—	-1.5	—	29.2%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away +1.5 -1.5 Level 2	—	-1.5	—	70.8%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home -1.0 Level 2	—	-1	—	29.2%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away +1.0 -1 Level 2	—	-1	—	45%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home -0.5 Level 2	—	-0.5	—	55%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away +0.5 -0.5 Level 2	—	-0.5	—	45%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home +0.5 Level 2	—	0.5	—	78.9%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away -0.5 Level 2	—	0.5	—	21.1%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home +1.0 Level 2	—	1	—	78.9%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away -1.0 Level 2	—	1	—	6.7%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home +1.5 Level 2	—	1.5	—	93.3%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away -1.5 Level 2	—	1.5	—	6.7%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home +2.0 Level 2	—	2	—	93.3%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away -2.0 Level 2	—	2	—	1.7%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home +2.5 Level 2	—	2.5	—	98.3%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away -2.5 Level 2	—	2.5	—	1.7%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
1-0 Level 2	—	—	—	13.8%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
1-1 Level 2	—	—	—	11.3%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
2-0 Level 2	—	—	—	10.7%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
2-1 Level 2	—	—	—	9.5%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
0-1 Level 2	—	—	—	7.8%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
0-0 Level 2	—	—	—	7.8%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
3-0 Level 2	—	—	—	5.8%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
1-2 Level 2	—	—	—	5.2%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
3-1 Level 2	—	—	—	5.1%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
2-2 Level 2	—	—	—	4.2%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
0-2 Level 2	—	—	—	3.2%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
4-0 Level 2	—	—	—	2.3%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
3-2 Level 2	—	—	—	2.2%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
4-1 Level 2	—	—	—	2%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
1-3 Level 2	—	—	—	1.5%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
2-3 Level 2	—	—	—	1.2%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
0-3 Level 2	—	—	—	0.9%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
4-2 Level 2	—	—	—	0.9%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
5-0 Level 2	—	—	—	0.7%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
3-3 Level 2	—	—	—	0.7%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
5-1 Level 2	—	—	—	0.7%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home clean sheet Level 2	—	—	—	41.3%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away clean sheet Level 2	—	—	—	20%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Home win to nil Level 2	—	—	—	33.6%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Away win to nil Level 2	—	—	—	12.2%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Even goals Level 2	—	—	—	49.4%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial
Odd goals Level 2	—	—	—	50.6%	—	No price	74	60%	Partial

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.

Rayo VallecanoAlaves

Final result

Odds & Market

Model outputs by market

Model / market divergence

Market coverage for this fixture

Rayo Vallecano
Alaves