High Signal🇨🇴 Primera A · — · 23:10
versus
Santa Fe
America de Cali
—
0 – 0
60:00
70%
Under 2.5 goals
SA39
Draw33
AM28
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 13,04Raw implied probability32,9%Sum of the 1X2 book107,7%Operator margin removed−7,7 ptsDe-margined consensus31%Our model39.1%Measured gap+8.1 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 56
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away under 1.0 goals—67%48%+19
Away over 1.0 goals—33.2%52%−18.8
Away draw no bet—41.9%56%−14.1
Home draw no bet—57.9%44%+13.9
Away over 1.5 goals—21.1%33%−11.9
Away under 1.5 goals—78.9%67%+11.9
Home clean sheet—42.6%31%+11.6
Away over 0.5 goals—57.4%68%−10.6
Away under 0.5 goals—42.6%32%+10.6
Away win—28.3%38%−9.7
Home or draw—71.7%62%+9.7
Away over 2.0 goals—6.5%16%−9.5
A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.
