GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🇨🇴 Primera A · · 23:10
versus

Santa Fe
America de Cali

00
60:00
70%
Under 2.5 goals
SA39
Draw33
AM28
Why
Santa Fe's attack sits at the 75th percentile of the league
Santa Fe takes 1.68 points per game at home, the opponent 1.16 away
What could fool us
America de Cali takes 2.2 points per game at home against 1.16 away — two different sides depending on the ground
America de Cali has won 4 of its last 6
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Santa Fe at 39%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

SANSAN
AMEAME
00
60:00

Live intelligence

i60'
Modèle en direct : issue recalculée depuis le score et la minute (Poisson restant sur les intensités d'avant-match). L'intensité est comptée sur les événements horodatés, par tranche de cinq minutes.
Live win probabilityat 0–0, 60'
24%
SA win
58%
Draw
18%
AM win
-15ppvs pre-kick-off model
MomentumRolling 5-minute pressure index
KO60'
Expected goals
0.000.00
Scoreline broadly in line with expected goals.
xG trajectory
Observed statistics
Key moments
  • 57'Substitution 1E. Tortolero
  • 38'Yellow CardL. Quinones
  • 33'Yellow Card SANF. FagundezSAN
  • 21'Yellow CardR. Carrascal
Model changes
  • 0ppxG accumulationChance quality created since kick-off, independent of the scoreline.

Live estimates depend on the event feed. When an event is delayed or missing, the model keeps its previous state rather than inventing one.

39%
SAN
33%
Draw
28%
AME
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Santa Fe's attack sits at the 75th percentile of the league
  • Santa Fe takes 1.68 points per game at home, the opponent 1.16 away

What could mislead us

  • America de Cali takes 2.2 points per game at home against 1.16 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • America de Cali has won 4 of its last 6
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Away under 1.0 goals1Strength 95/100
Away under 1.0 goals
Model
67%
Market
48%
Divergence
+19

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 67%, the market at 48%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

8 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Santa Fe at 39%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions