GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🇨🇴 Primera A · · 23:10
versus

Santa Fe
America de Cali

00
60:00
70%
Under 2.5 goals
SA39
Draw33
AM28
Head to head
3
SAN
2
Draw
3
AME
mai 2026SANAME40
mai 2026AMESAN11
févr. 2026AMESAN10
août 2025SANAME21
févr. 2025AMESAN20
nov. 2024AMESAN00
avr. 2024SANAME10
août 2023AMESAN20

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 23h39%
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

SANSAN
AMEAME
00
60:00

Live intelligence

i60'
Modèle en direct : issue recalculée depuis le score et la minute (Poisson restant sur les intensités d'avant-match). L'intensité est comptée sur les événements horodatés, par tranche de cinq minutes.
Live win probabilityat 0–0, 60'
24%
SA win
58%
Draw
18%
AM win
-15ppvs pre-kick-off model
MomentumRolling 5-minute pressure index
KO60'
Expected goals
0.000.00
Scoreline broadly in line with expected goals.
xG trajectory
Observed statistics
Key moments
  • 57'Substitution 1E. Tortolero
  • 38'Yellow CardL. Quinones
  • 33'Yellow Card SANF. FagundezSAN
  • 21'Yellow CardR. Carrascal
Model changes
  • 0ppxG accumulationChance quality created since kick-off, independent of the scoreline.

Live estimates depend on the event feed. When an event is delayed or missing, the model keeps its previous state rather than inventing one.

Time Machine

i

What changed?

()

Evolution over time

i
SA winDrawAM win

Snapshot ledger

i
SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 23hprd_20260822_af-1549742_210823hv1.9.354%39%

What would have to change

i21.4 pt span
Red card3917.9-21.1
Opponent scores first3936.2-2.8
Key substitution3938-1
High tempo3938.6-0.4
Low tempo3939.3+0.3
Early goal39390

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

i

Head to head

i
3
SA wins
2
Draws
3
AM wins
13 May 2026SANAME40
10 May 2026AMESAN11
14 Feb 2026AMESAN10
3 Aug 2025SANAME21
15 Feb 2025AMESAN20
12 Nov 2024AMESAN00
21 Apr 2024SANAME10
28 Aug 2023AMESAN20

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

Notes

i