GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Premier League · — · 17:00
versus

National Bank of Egypt
Zamalek SC

—
Pre-match analysis
58%
Under 2.5 goals
NA17
Draw30
ZA53
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 13,15Raw implied probability31,7%Sum of the 1X2 book109,7%Operator margin removed−9,7 ptsDe-margined consensus29%Our model17.2%Measured gap−11.8 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 56
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home draw no bet—24.6%43%−18.4
Away draw no bet—75.3%57%+18.3
Home or draw—47.4%61%−13.6
Home under 1.0 goals—69.5%56%+13.5
Home over 1.0 goals—30.7%44%−13.3
Draw or away—82.8%70%+12.8
Away win—52.6%40%+12.6
Away over 1.0 goals—68.6%56%+12.6
Away under 1.0 goals—31.4%44%−12.6
Home win—17.2%29%−11.8
Home over 1.5 goals—19.6%29%−9.4
Home under 1.5 goals—80.4%71%+9.4

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

egypt-pl · 19:00
NATNAT
ZAMZAM
— · Pre-match analysis
58%
Under 2.5 goals

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
13.153.15•0%
X2.932.93•0%
22.282.28•0%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Away draw no betHigh Signal95Away draw no bet75.3%57%
76
▲+18.3pp
Home under 1.0 goals1High Signal90.5Home under 1.0 goals69.5%56%
76
▲+13.5pp
Draw or awayHigh Signal88.4Draw or away82.8%70%
76
▲+12.8pp
Away winHigh Signal87.8Away win52.6%40%
76
▲+12.6pp
Away over 1.0 goals1High Signal87.8Away over 1.0 goals68.6%56%
76
▲+12.6pp
Home under 1.5 goals1.5Interesting78.2Home under 1.5 goals80.4%71%
76
▲+9.4pp
Away over 1.5 goals1.5Interesting77.3Away over 1.5 goals46.1%37%
76
▲+9.1pp
Home under 0.5 goals0.5Interesting75.2Home under 0.5 goals44.4%36%
76
▲+8.4pp
Home win—Home win17.2%29%
76
▼-11.8pp
Draw—Draw30.1%31%
76
▼-0.9pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 32%model 17%▼-15pp
Xmarket 34%model 30%▼-4pp
2market 44%model 53%▲+9pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
56
Eligible
56
With a price
56
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.