GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🌍 Premier League · — · 14:00
versus

El Gouna FC
Future FC

—
Pre-match analysis
84%
Under 2.5 goals
GO38
Draw42
FU20
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 13,00Raw implied probability33,3%Sum of the 1X2 book109,3%Operator margin removed−9,3 ptsDe-margined consensus31%Our model37.7%Measured gap+6.7 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 50
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away under 1.0 goals—84.8%60%+24.8
Away over 1.0 goals—15.4%40%−24.6
Away over 0.5 goals—42.1%60%−17.9
Away under 0.5 goals—57.9%40%+17.9
Home draw no bet—65.3%48%+17.3
Away draw no bet—34.7%52%−17.3
Home clean sheet—57.9%41%+16.9
Over 2.0 goals—22.3%39%−16.7
Under 2.0 goals—77.7%61%+16.7
Away over 1.5 goals—10.5%26%−15.5
Away under 1.5 goals—89.5%74%+15.5
Away win—20%34%−14

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

egypt-pl · 16:00
GOUGOU
FUTFUT
— · Pre-match analysis
84%
Under 2.5 goals

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
13.003.00•0%
X2.552.57▲+0.02%
22.702.70•0%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Away under 1.0 goals1High Signal95Away under 1.0 goals84.8%60%
62
▲+24.8pp
Away under 0.5 goals0.5High Signal95Away under 0.5 goals57.9%40%
62
▲+17.9pp
Home draw no betHigh Signal95Home draw no bet65.3%48%
62
▲+17.3pp
Home clean sheetHigh Signal95Home clean sheet57.9%41%
62
▲+16.9pp
Under 2.0 goals2High Signal95Under 2.0 goals77.7%61%
62
▲+16.7pp
Away under 1.5 goals1.5High Signal95Away under 1.5 goals89.5%74%
62
▲+15.5pp
Home or drawHigh Signal92Home or draw80%66%
62
▲+14pp
Under 2.5 goals2.5High Signal87.8Under 2.5 goals83.6%71%
62
▲+12.6pp
Home win—Home win37.7%31%
62
▲+6.7pp
Draw—Draw42.3%36%
62
▲+6.3pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 33%model 38%▲+5pp
Xmarket 39%model 42%▲+3pp
2market 37%model 20%▼-17pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
50
Eligible
50
With a price
50
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.