GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🌍 Ligue 1 · — · 15:30
versus

ES Zarzis
Olympique Béja

Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium
Pre-match analysis
68%
Victoire ES Zarzis
ES68
Draw20
OB12
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,71Raw implied probability58,5%Sum of the 1X2 book110,3%Operator margin removed−10,3 ptsDe-margined consensus53%Our model68.2%Measured gap+15.2 pp
Markets carrying a signal7 / 52
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home win—68.2%53%+15.2
Draw or away—31.8%46%−14.2
Home over 1.0 goals—75.9%63%+12.9
Home under 1.0 goals—24.1%37%−12.9
Home over 2.0 goals—36%24%+12
Home under 2.0 goals—64%76%−12
Home draw no bet—84.8%73%+11.8
Away draw no bet—15.3%27%−11.7
Home over 1.5 goals—53.1%42%+11.1
Home under 1.5 goals—46.9%58%−11.1
Home over 0.5 goals—83.1%73%+10.1
Home under 0.5 goals—16.9%27%−10.1

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

tunisia-l1 · 17:30
ESZESZ
OBOB
Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium · Pre-match analysis
68%
Victoire ES

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
11.711.71•0%
X3.143.14•0%
25.005.00•0%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Home winHigh Signal95Home win68.2%53%
95
▲+15.2pp
Home over 1.0 goals1High Signal88.7Home over 1.0 goals75.9%63%
95
▲+12.9pp
Home over 2.0 goals2High Signal86Home over 2.0 goals36%24%
95
▲+12pp
Home draw no betInteresting85.4Home draw no bet84.8%73%
95
▲+11.8pp
Home over 1.5 goals1.5Interesting83.3Home over 1.5 goals53.1%42%
95
▲+11.1pp
Home over 0.5 goals0.5Interesting80.3Home over 0.5 goals83.1%73%
95
▲+10.1pp
Home or awayInteresting75.2Home or away80.4%72%
95
▲+8.4pp
Draw—Draw19.6%29%
95
▼-9.4pp
Away win—Away win12.3%18%
95
▼-5.7pp
Home or draw—Home or draw87.7%81%
95
▲+6.7pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 58%model 68%▲+10pp
Xmarket 32%model 20%▼-12pp
2market 20%model 12%▼-8pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
52
Eligible
52
With a price
52
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.