GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🌍 Ligue 1 · · 15:30
versus

ES Zarzis
Olympique Béja

Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium
Pre-match analysis
68%
Victoire ES Zarzis
ES68
Draw20
OB12
Why
ES Zarzis's attack sits at the 78th percentile of the league
Olympique Béja's defence sits at the 3th percentile — among the weakest
ES Zarzis takes 1.61 points per game at home, the opponent 0.42 away
ES Zarzis has won 4 of its last 6
ES Zarzis has won 6 of the last 8 meetings
What could fool us
Olympique Béja takes 1.22 points per game at home against 0.42 away — two different sides depending on the ground
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices ES Zarzis at 68%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

ESZESZ
OBOB
Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium · Pre-match analysis
68%
Victoire ES
68%
ESZ
20%
Draw
12%
OB
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • ES Zarzis's attack sits at the 78th percentile of the league
  • Olympique Béja's defence sits at the 3th percentile — among the weakest
  • ES Zarzis takes 1.61 points per game at home, the opponent 0.42 away
  • ES Zarzis has won 4 of its last 6
  • ES Zarzis has won 6 of the last 8 meetings

What could mislead us

  • Olympique Béja takes 1.22 points per game at home against 0.42 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Home winStrength 95/100
Home win
Model
68.2%
Market
53%
Divergence
+15.2

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 68.2%, the market at 53%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

7 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices ES Zarzis at 68%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions