GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Ligue 1 · — · 15:30
versus

ES Hammam-Sousse
US Monastirienne

—
0 – 0
Full time
68%
Under 2.5 goals
ES21
Draw26
US53
Head to head
1
ESHS
2
Draw
2
USMO
août 2021USMO — ESHS4 – 1
févr. 2013USMO — ESHS1 – 2
nov. 2012ESHS — USMO0 – 1
sept. 2012USMO — ESHS1 – 1
mars 2012ESHS — USMO0 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h21%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

tunisia-l1 · 17:30
ESHSESHS
USMOUSMO
—
0 – 0
Full time

Final result

i
Confirmed✓68%Under 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
21%
Win ESHS
26%
Draw
what happened
53%
Win USMO
21%at opening→21%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
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Evolution over time

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ES winDrawUS win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260822_af-1607414_210805hv1.9.354%60%

What would have to change

i21.1 pt span
Red card53 → 31.9-21.1
Opponent scores first53 → 50.2-2.8
Key substitution53 → 52-1
Early goal53 → 530
High tempo53 → 530
Low tempo53 → 530

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Head to head

i
1
ES wins
2
Draws
2
US wins
15 Aug 2021USMO — ESHS4 – 1
17 Feb 2013USMO — ESHS1 – 2
18 Nov 2012ESHS — USMO0 – 1
23 Sept 2012USMO — ESHS1 – 1
30 Mar 2012ESHS — USMO0 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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