GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Pro League · — · 16:10
versus

Al Kholood
Al Taawon

Al-Hazem Club Stadium
3 – 2
Full time
54%
Both teams to score
AL22
Draw26
AL52
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,90Raw implied probability34,5%Sum of the 1X2 book108,7%Operator margin removed−8,7 ptsDe-margined consensus32%Our model22.5%Measured gap−9.5 pp
Markets carrying a signal7 / 64
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home draw no bet—30.3%44%−13.7
Away draw no bet—69.5%56%+13.5
Home over 1.0 goals—44.5%57%−12.5
Home under 1.0 goals—55.5%43%+12.5
Away win—51.6%41%+10.6
Home or draw—48.4%59%−10.6
Home win—22.5%32%−9.5
Draw or away—77.5%68%+9.5
Away over 1.0 goals—73.3%64%+9.3
Away under 1.0 goals—26.7%36%−9.3
Home over 2.0 goals—11%20%−9
Home under 2.0 goals—89%80%+9

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

Saudi Pro League · 18:10
AL AL
AL AL
Al-Hazem Club Stadium
3 – 2
Full time

Final result

i
Confirmed✓54%Both teams to score · announced before kick-off
22%
Win AL
what happened
26%
Draw
52%
Win AL
22%at opening→22%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
12.932.90▼-0.03%
X3.453.34▼-0.11%
22.232.26▲+0.03%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Away draw no betHigh Signal90.5Away draw no bet69.5%56%
70
▲+13.5pp
Home under 1.0 goals1High Signal87.5Home under 1.0 goals55.5%43%
70
▲+12.5pp
Away winInteresting81.8Away win51.6%41%
70
▲+10.6pp
Draw or awayInteresting78.5Draw or away77.5%68%
70
▲+9.5pp
Away over 1.0 goals1Interesting77.9Away over 1.0 goals73.3%64%
70
▲+9.3pp
Home under 2.0 goals2Interesting77Home under 2.0 goals89%80%
70
▲+9pp
Home under 1.5 goals1.5Interesting76.4Home under 1.5 goals71.8%63%
70
▲+8.8pp
Home win—Home win22.5%32%
70
▼-9.5pp
Draw—Draw25.8%28%
70
▼-2.2pp
Home or draw—Home or draw48.4%59%
70
▼-10.6pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 34%model 22%▼-12pp
Xmarket 30%model 26%▼-4pp
2market 44%model 52%▲+8pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
64
Eligible
64
With a price
64
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.