No signal🌍 Pro League · — · 15:45
versus
Al-Fateh
Al-Ettifaq
Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium
0 – 1
Full time
57%
Both teams to score
FA34
Draw27
ET39
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,30Raw implied probability43,5%Sum of the 1X2 book108,0%Operator margin removed−8,0 ptsDe-margined consensus40%Our model33.9%Measured gap−6.1 pp
Markets carrying a signal7 / 72
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home under 1.0 goals—40.7%29%+11.7
Home over 1.0 goals—59.4%71%−11.6
Home over 2.0 goals—19.6%31%−11.4
Home under 2.0 goals—80.3%69%+11.3
Over 3.0 goals—38.9%50%−11.1
Under 3.0 goals—61.1%50%+11.1
Home over 1.5 goals—38.5%49%−10.5
Home under 1.5 goals—61.5%51%+10.5
Over 3.5 goals—30.3%40%−9.7
Under 3.5 goals—69.7%60%+9.7
Over 4.0 goals—17.5%27%−9.5
Under 4.0 goals—82.4%73%+9.4
A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.
