GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Pro League · — · 16:00
versus

Al Riyadh
Al-Nassr

Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
0 – 4
Full time
80%
Victoire Al-Nassr
RI7
Draw14
NA79
Head to head
0
RIY
1
Draw
5
NAS
févr. 2026RIY — NAS0 – 1
sept. 2025NAS — RIY5 – 1
avr. 2025NAS — RIY2 – 1
nov. 2024RIY — NAS0 – 1
mai 2024RIY — NAS2 – 2
déc. 2023NAS — RIY4 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h7%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Al Hilal SFC7444+28
4Al Ahli SFC7031+7
Saudi Pro League · 18:00
RIYRIY
NASNAS
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
0 – 4
Full time

Final result

i
Confirmed✓80%Al-Nassr win · announced before kick-off
7%
Win RIY
14%
Draw
79%
Win NAS
what happened
7%at opening→7%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

i

What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

i
RI winDrawNA win

Snapshot ledger

i
SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260821_af-1602982_210805hv1.9.354%83%

What would have to change

i23.5 pt span
Red card79 → 57.9-21.1
Opponent scores first79 → 76.2-2.8
High tempo79 → 81.4+2.4
Low tempo79 → 77.1-1.9
Key substitution79 → 78-1
Early goal79 → 790

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

i

Head to head

i
0
RI wins
1
Draws
5
NA wins
2 Feb 2026RIY — NAS0 – 1
20 Sept 2025NAS — RIY5 – 1
12 Apr 2025NAS — RIY2 – 1
8 Nov 2024RIY — NAS0 – 1
23 May 2024RIY — NAS2 – 2
8 Dec 2023NAS — RIY4 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

i