No signal🇮🇹 Serie B · — · 17:00
versus
Sudtirol
Virtus Entella
Stadio Marco Druso · Referee m-caputi
1 – 0
Full time
69%
Under 2.5 goals
SU42
Draw34
VI24
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,06Raw implied probability48,5%Sum of the 1X2 book107,2%Operator margin removed−7,2 ptsDe-margined consensus45%Our model41.9%Measured gap−3.1 pp
Markets carrying a signal1 / 56
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Over 3.0 goals—16.6%25%−8.4
Under 3.0 goals—83.4%75%+8.4
Home over 1.0 goals—50.3%58%−7.7
Home under 1.0 goals—49.7%42%+7.7
Over 2.0 goals—44%51%−7
Under 2.0 goals—56%49%+7
Home over 2.0 goals—13.9%20%−6.1
Home under 2.0 goals—86.1%80%+6.1
Home over 1.5 goals—32%38%−6
Home under 1.5 goals—68%62%+6
Over 2.5 goals—31.4%37%−5.6
Under 2.5 goals—68.6%63%+5.6
A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.
