GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇮🇹 Serie B · — · 19:00
versus

Palermo
Juve Stabia

Stadio Renzo Barbera · Referee g-collu
Pre-match analysis
57%
Under 2.5 goals
PA55
Draw28
JU17
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,56Raw implied probability64,1%Sum of the 1X2 book106,8%Operator margin removed−6,8 ptsDe-margined consensus60%Our model55%Measured gap−5 pp
Markets carrying a signal1 / 62
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home under 2.0 goals—70.7%62%+8.7
Home over 2.0 goals—29.4%38%−8.6
Over 3.0 goals—28.1%36%−7.9
Under 3.0 goals—71.9%64%+7.9
Home over 3.0 goals—9.2%16%−6.8
Home over 1.0 goals—70.3%77%−6.7
Home under 1.0 goals—29.7%23%+6.7
Home under 3.0 goals—90.7%84%+6.7
Home over 1.5 goals—47.6%54%−6.4
Home under 1.5 goals—52.4%46%+6.4
Over 5.0 goals—3.8%10%−6.2
Under 5.0 goals—96.2%90%+6.2

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

serieb · 21:00
PALPAL
JUVJUV
Stadio Renzo Barbera · Pre-match analysis
57%
Under 2.5 goals

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
11.581.56▼-0.02%
X3.733.83▲+0.1%
25.806.03▲+0.23%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Home under 2.0 goals2Interesting76.1Home under 2.0 goals70.7%62%
78
▲+8.7pp
Home win—Home win55%60%
78
▼-5pp
Draw—Draw27.9%24%
78
▲+3.9pp
Away win—Away win17.2%15%
78
▲+2.2pp
Home or draw—Home or draw82.8%85%
78
▼-2.2pp
Home or away—Home or away72.1%75%
78
▼-2.9pp
Draw or away—Draw or away45%40%
78
▲+5pp
Home draw no bet—Home draw no bet76.3%79%
78
▼-2.7pp
Away draw no bet—Away draw no bet23.9%21%
78
▲+2.9pp
Both teams to score—Both teams to score45.5%47%
78
▼-1.5pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 64%model 55%▼-9pp
Xmarket 26%model 28%▲+2pp
2market 17%model 17%•0pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
62
Eligible
62
With a price
62
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.