GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇬🇷 Super League 1 · — · 15:00
versus

Levadiakos
Panathinaikos

Levadia Stadium
Pre-match analysis
63%
Both teams to score
LE28
Draw28
PA44
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 16,28Raw implied probability15,9%Sum of the 1X2 book106,9%Operator margin removed−6,9 ptsDe-margined consensus15%Our model28.3%Measured gap+13.3 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 56
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home over 1.0 goals—60.7%25%+35.7
Home under 1.0 goals—39.3%75%−35.7
Home over 0.5 goals—74.4%51%+23.4
Home under 0.5 goals—25.6%49%−23.4
Home over 1.5 goals—39.5%18%+21.5
Home under 1.5 goals—60.5%82%−21.5
Both teams to score—63.3%43%+20.3
Both teams to score: no—36.7%57%−20.3
Over 2.0 goals—78.3%59%+19.3
Under 2.0 goals—21.7%41%−19.3
Home draw no bet—39.1%20%+19.1
Away draw no bet—60.9%80%−19.1

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

greece-sl1 · 17:00
LEVLEV
PANPAN
Levadia Stadium · Pre-match analysis
63%
Both teams to score

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
16.286.28•0%
X3.903.90•0%
21.531.53•0%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Home over 1.0 goals1High Signal95Home over 1.0 goals60.7%25%
56
▲+35.7pp
Home over 0.5 goals0.5High Signal95Home over 0.5 goals74.4%51%
56
▲+23.4pp
Home over 1.5 goals1.5High Signal95Home over 1.5 goals39.5%18%
56
▲+21.5pp
Both teams to scoreHigh Signal95Both teams to score63.3%43%
56
▲+20.3pp
Over 2.0 goals2High Signal95Over 2.0 goals78.3%59%
56
▲+19.3pp
Home draw no betHigh Signal95Home draw no bet39.1%20%
56
▲+19.1pp
Over 3.0 goals3High Signal95Over 3.0 goals48.1%30%
56
▲+18.1pp
Home or drawHigh Signal95Home or draw55.9%38%
56
▲+17.9pp
Home win—Home win28.3%15%
56
▲+13.3pp
Draw—Draw27.6%24%
56
▲+3.6pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 16%model 28%▲+12pp
Xmarket 26%model 28%▲+2pp
2market 65%model 44%▼-21pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
56
Eligible
56
With a price
56
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.