GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇬🇷 Super League 1 · · 15:00
versus

Atromitos
PAOK

Peristeri Stadium
Pre-match analysis
55%
Both teams to score
AT18
Draw27
PA55
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 15,55Raw implied probability18,0%Sum of the 1X2 book107,0%Operator margin removed−7,0 ptsDe-margined consensus17%Our model18.2%Measured gap+1.2 pp
Markets carrying a signal3 / 60
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home over 1.0 goals41.3%30%+11.3
Home under 1.0 goals58.7%70%−11.3
Over 2.0 goals71.8%61%+10.8
Under 2.0 goals28.2%39%−10.8
Over 1.5 goals79.1%71%+8.1
Under 1.5 goals20.9%29%−8.1
Home over 0.5 goals62.9%55%+7.9
Home under 0.5 goals37.1%45%−7.9
Both teams to score54.8%47%+7.8
Both teams to score: no45.2%53%−7.8
Over 3.0 goals39.9%33%+6.9
Under 3.0 goals60.2%67%−6.8

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

ATRATR
PAOPAO
Peristeri Stadium · Pre-match analysis
55%
Both teams to score

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
15.555.550%
X3.843.840%
21.591.590%

Model outputs by market

i
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Home over 1.0 goals1Interesting83.9Home over 1.0 goals41.3%30%
77
+11.3pp
Over 2.0 goals2Interesting82.4Over 2.0 goals71.8%61%
77
+10.8pp
Over 1.5 goals1.5Interesting74.3Over 1.5 goals79.1%71%
77
+8.1pp
Home winHome win18.2%17%
77
+1.2pp
DrawDraw27.1%24%
77
+3.1pp
Away winAway win54.7%59%
77
-4.3pp
Home or drawHome or draw45.3%41%
77
+4.3pp
Home or awayHome or away72.9%76%
77
-3.1pp
Draw or awayDraw or away81.8%84%
77
-2.2pp
Home draw no betHome draw no bet25%22%
77
+3pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 18%model 18%0pp
Xmarket 26%model 27%+1pp
2market 63%model 55%-8pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
60
Eligible
60
With a price
60
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.