Interesting🇬🇷 Super League 1 · — · 15:00
versus
Asteras Tripolis
Olympiakos Piraeus
Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium
Pre-match analysis
69%
Both teams to score: no
AS8
Draw27
OL65
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 17,50Raw implied probability13,3%Sum of the 1X2 book107,7%Operator margin removed−7,7 ptsDe-margined consensus12%Our model8.2%Measured gap−3.8 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 58
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Over 2.0 goals—48%61%−13
Under 2.0 goals—52%39%+13
Over 3.0 goals—19%32%−13
Under 3.0 goals—80.8%68%+12.8
Over 2.5 goals—34.2%46%−11.8
Under 2.5 goals—65.8%54%+11.8
Home over 0.5 goals—36.5%47%−10.5
Home under 0.5 goals—63.5%53%+10.5
Home over 1.0 goals—10.8%21%−10.2
Home under 1.0 goals—89.2%79%+10.2
Both teams to score—31%41%−10
Both teams to score: no—69%59%+10
A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.
