High Signal🇬🇷 Super League 1 · — · 18:00
versus
PAOK
Levadiakos
Toumba Stadium · Referee a-evangelou
Pre-match analysis
72%
Over 2.5 goals
PA72
Draw18
LE10
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,38Raw implied probability72,5%Sum of the 1X2 book107,0%Operator margin removed−7,0 ptsDe-margined consensus68%Our model71.5%Measured gap+3.5 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 64
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Under 3.0 goals—35.9%55%−19.1
Over 3.0 goals—64%45%+19
Home over 2.0 goals—66.9%51%+15.9
Home under 2.0 goals—33.1%49%−15.9
Over 3.5 goals—50.7%35%+15.7
Under 3.5 goals—49.3%65%−15.7
Over 2.0 goals—87.5%72%+15.5
Under 2.0 goals—12.6%28%−15.4
Over 4.0 goals—38.9%24%+14.9
Under 4.0 goals—61.1%76%−14.9
Over 2.5 goals—71.6%57%+14.6
Under 2.5 goals—28.4%43%−14.6
A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.
