GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🇬🇷 Super League 1 · · 18:00
versus

PAOK
Levadiakos

Toumba Stadium · Referee a-evangelou
Pre-match analysis
72%
Over 2.5 goals
PA72
Draw18
LE10
Why
PAOK's attack sits at the 91th percentile of the league
PAOK takes 2.6 points per game at home, the opponent 1.45 away
PAOK takes 2.6 points per game at home against 1.35 away — two different sides depending on the ground
PAOK scores 1.9 goals per game at home
PAOK has won 6 of the last 8 meetings
What could fool us
Levadiakos's attack sits at the 97th percentile of the league
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices PAOK at 72%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

PAOPAO
LEVLEV
Toumba Stadium · Pre-match analysis
72%
Over 2.5 goals
72%
PAO
18%
Draw
10%
LEV
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • PAOK's attack sits at the 91th percentile of the league
  • PAOK takes 2.6 points per game at home, the opponent 1.45 away
  • PAOK takes 2.6 points per game at home against 1.35 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • PAOK scores 1.9 goals per game at home
  • PAOK has won 6 of the last 8 meetings

What could mislead us

  • Levadiakos's attack sits at the 97th percentile of the league
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Over 3.0 goals3Strength 95/100
Over 3.0 goals
Model
64%
Market
45%
Divergence
+19

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 64%, the market at 45%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

8 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Referee
a-evangelou
Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices PAOK at 72%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions