High Signal🇬🇷 Super League 1 · — · 18:30
versus
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos Stadium
Pre-match analysis
68%
Under 2.5 goals
PA35
Draw36
AS29
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,75Raw implied probability36,4%Sum of the 1X2 book106,3%Operator margin removed−6,3 ptsDe-margined consensus34%Our model34.8%Measured gap+0.8 pp
Markets carrying a signal3 / 56
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away over 1.0 goals—37.8%49%−11.2
Away under 1.0 goals—62.2%51%+11.2
Over 3.0 goals—16.8%25%−8.2
Under 3.0 goals—83.2%75%+8.2
Away over 1.5 goals—23.9%32%−8.1
Away under 1.5 goals—76.1%68%+8.1
Over 2.5 goals—31.6%39%−7.4
Under 2.5 goals—68.4%61%+7.4
Under 2.0 goals—55.2%48%+7.2
Over 3.5 goals—13.8%21%−7.2
Under 3.5 goals—86.2%79%+7.2
Over 2.0 goals—45%52%−7
A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.
