GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇬🇷 Super League 1 · · 18:30
versus

Olympiakos Piraeus
Atromitos

Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium · Referee a-tsakalidis
10
Full time
68%
Victoire Olympiakos Piraeus
OL68
Draw24
AT8
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,25Raw implied probability80,0%Sum of the 1X2 book106,8%Operator margin removed−6,8 ptsDe-margined consensus75%Our model67.7%Measured gap−7.3 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 64
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home over 2.0 goals37.9%55%−17.1
Home under 2.0 goals62.1%45%+17.1
Over 3.0 goals26.2%43%−16.8
Under 3.0 goals73.8%57%+16.8
Over 2.5 goals41.4%55%−13.6
Under 2.5 goals58.6%45%+13.6
Home over 3.0 goals13.5%27%−13.5
Home under 3.0 goals86.5%73%+13.5
Home over 2.5 goals27.7%41%−13.3
Home under 2.5 goals72.3%59%+13.3
Over 3.5 goals20.8%34%−13.2
Under 3.5 goals79.2%66%+13.2

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

OLYOLY
ATRATR
Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium
10
Full time

Final result

i
Confirmed68%Olympiakos Piraeus win · announced before kick-off
68%
Win OLY
what happened
24%
Draw
8%
Win ATR
68%at opening68%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
11.251.250%
X5.505.500%
211.6311.630%

Model outputs by market

i
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Home under 2.0 goals2High Signal95Home under 2.0 goals62.1%45%
95
+17.1pp
Under 3.0 goals3High Signal95Under 3.0 goals73.8%57%
95
+16.8pp
Under 2.5 goals2.5High Signal90.8Under 2.5 goals58.6%45%
95
+13.6pp
Home under 3.0 goals3High Signal90.5Home under 3.0 goals86.5%73%
95
+13.5pp
Home under 2.5 goals2.5High Signal89.9Home under 2.5 goals72.3%59%
95
+13.3pp
Under 3.5 goals3.5High Signal89.6Under 3.5 goals79.2%66%
95
+13.2pp
Under 4.0 goals4High Signal86Under 4.0 goals90%78%
95
+12pp
Under 2.0 goals2Interesting84.2Under 2.0 goals42.4%31%
95
+11.4pp
Home winHome win67.7%75%
95
-7.3pp
DrawDraw24.5%17%
95
+7.5pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 80%model 68%-12pp
Xmarket 18%model 24%+6pp
2market 9%model 8%-1pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
64
Eligible
64
With a price
64
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.