GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇬🇷 Super League 1 · · 16:30
versus

OFI
Volos NFC

Pankritio Stadium · Referee m-gioumatzidis
Pre-match analysis
61%
Over 2.5 goals
OF56
Draw25
VO19
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,13Raw implied probability46,9%Sum of the 1X2 book106,9%Operator margin removed−6,9 ptsDe-margined consensus44%Our model55.5%Measured gap+11.5 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 66
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home over 2.0 goals44.6%27%+17.6
Home under 2.0 goals55.4%73%−17.6
Over 2.0 goals79.3%65%+14.3
Under 2.0 goals20.7%35%−14.3
Home over 1.0 goals81.6%68%+13.6
Home under 1.0 goals18.4%32%−13.6
Home over 1.5 goals59.6%46%+13.6
Home under 1.5 goals40.4%54%−13.6
Home draw no bet74.2%62%+12.2
Away draw no bet25.8%38%−12.2
Over 3.0 goals49.7%38%+11.7
Under 3.0 goals50.3%62%−11.7

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

OFIOFI
VOLVOL
Pankritio Stadium · Pre-match analysis
61%
Over 2.5 goals

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
12.132.130%
X3.283.29+0.01%
23.353.38+0.03%

Model outputs by market

i
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Home over 2.0 goals2High Signal95Home over 2.0 goals44.6%27%
77
+17.6pp
Over 2.0 goals2High Signal92.9Over 2.0 goals79.3%65%
77
+14.3pp
Home over 1.0 goals1High Signal90.8Home over 1.0 goals81.6%68%
77
+13.6pp
Home over 1.5 goals1.5High Signal90.8Home over 1.5 goals59.6%46%
77
+13.6pp
Home draw no betHigh Signal86.6Home draw no bet74.2%62%
77
+12.2pp
Over 3.0 goals3Interesting85.1Over 3.0 goals49.7%38%
77
+11.7pp
Home winInteresting84.5Home win55.5%44%
77
+11.5pp
Home over 2.5 goals2.5Interesting84.5Home over 2.5 goals32.5%21%
77
+11.5pp
DrawDraw25.2%28%
77
-2.8pp
Away winAway win19.3%28%
77
-8.7pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 47%model 56%+9pp
Xmarket 30%model 25%-5pp
2market 30%model 19%-11pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
66
Eligible
66
With a price
66
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.