Interesting🇬🇷 Super League 1 · — · 16:30
versus
OFI
Volos NFC
Pankritio Stadium · Referee m-gioumatzidis
Pre-match analysis
61%
Over 2.5 goals
OF56
Draw25
VO19
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,13Raw implied probability46,9%Sum of the 1X2 book106,9%Operator margin removed−6,9 ptsDe-margined consensus44%Our model55.5%Measured gap+11.5 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 66
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home over 2.0 goals—44.6%27%+17.6
Home under 2.0 goals—55.4%73%−17.6
Over 2.0 goals—79.3%65%+14.3
Under 2.0 goals—20.7%35%−14.3
Home over 1.0 goals—81.6%68%+13.6
Home under 1.0 goals—18.4%32%−13.6
Home over 1.5 goals—59.6%46%+13.6
Home under 1.5 goals—40.4%54%−13.6
Home draw no bet—74.2%62%+12.2
Away draw no bet—25.8%38%−12.2
Over 3.0 goals—49.7%38%+11.7
Under 3.0 goals—50.3%62%−11.7
A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.