No signal🇹🇷 Süper Lig · — · 16:00
versus
Rizespor
Samsunspor
Çaykur Didi Stadyumu · Referee o-turtay
0 – 2
Full time
63%
Both teams to score
RI40
Draw27
SA33
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,09Raw implied probability47,8%Sum of the 1X2 book106,3%Operator margin removed−6,3 ptsDe-margined consensus45%Our model39.7%Measured gap−5.3 pp
Markets carrying a signal3 / 66
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away over 1.0 goals—64.4%52%+12.4
Away under 1.0 goals—35.6%48%−12.4
Over 2.0 goals—77.3%67%+10.3
Under 2.0 goals—22.7%33%−10.3
Away over 1.5 goals—42.5%34%+8.5
Away under 1.5 goals—57.5%66%−8.5
Over 1.5 goals—82.7%75%+7.7
Under 1.5 goals—17.3%25%−7.7
Away under 2.0 goals—76.3%84%−7.7
Away over 2.0 goals—23.6%16%+7.6
Away over 0.5 goals—76.5%69%+7.5
Away under 0.5 goals—23.5%31%−7.5
A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.
