No signal🇹🇷 Süper Lig · — · 18:30
versus
Fenerbahçe
Konyaspor
Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu · Referee a-karaoglan
4 – 2
Full time
73%
Victoire Fenerbahçe
FE73
Draw17
KO10
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,30Raw implied probability76,9%Sum of the 1X2 book106,7%Operator margin removed−6,7 ptsDe-margined consensus72%Our model72.9%Measured gap+0.9 pp
Markets carrying a signal6 / 68
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Over 3.0 goals—62.5%52%+10.5
Under 3.0 goals—37.5%48%−10.5
Over 2.0 goals—86.4%77%+9.4
Under 2.0 goals—13.6%23%−9.4
Away over 1.0 goals—39.2%30%+9.2
Away under 1.0 goals—60.8%70%−9.2
Both teams to score—58.4%50%+8.4
Both teams to score: no—41.6%50%−8.4
Under 2.5 goals—29.6%38%−8.4
Over 3.5 goals—49.3%41%+8.3
Under 3.5 goals—50.7%59%−8.3
Over 4.0 goals—37.3%29%+8.3
A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.
