GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇹🇷 Süper Lig · · 16:00
versus

Eyüpspor
Gaziantep FK

· Referee r-coskunses
Pre-match analysis
55%
Both teams to score
EY47
Draw29
GA24
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,86Raw implied probability35,0%Sum of the 1X2 book107,2%Operator margin removed−7,2 ptsDe-margined consensus33%Our model46.7%Measured gap+13.7 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 62
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home draw no bet65.8%47%+18.8
Away draw no bet34.4%53%−18.6
Away over 1.0 goals46.8%62%−15.2
Away under 1.0 goals53%38%+15
Home win46.7%33%+13.7
Draw or away53.3%67%−13.7
Away win24.4%38%−13.6
Home or draw75.6%62%+13.6
Home over 1.0 goals69.3%56%+13.3
Home under 1.0 goals30.7%44%−13.3
Away over 1.5 goals29.7%42%−12.3
Away under 1.5 goals70.3%58%+12.3

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

EYÜEYÜ
GAZGAZ
· Pre-match analysis
55%
Both teams to score

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
12.832.86+0.03%
X3.183.180%
22.482.45-0.03%

Model outputs by market

i
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Home draw no betHigh Signal95Home draw no bet65.8%47%
63
+18.8pp
Away under 1.0 goals1High Signal95Away under 1.0 goals53%38%
63
+15pp
Home winHigh Signal91.1Home win46.7%33%
63
+13.7pp
Home or drawHigh Signal90.8Home or draw75.6%62%
63
+13.6pp
Home over 1.0 goals1High Signal89.9Home over 1.0 goals69.3%56%
63
+13.3pp
Away under 1.5 goals1.5High Signal86.9Away under 1.5 goals70.3%58%
63
+12.3pp
Away under 2.0 goals2Interesting82.7Away under 2.0 goals87.9%77%
63
+10.9pp
Home over 1.5 goals1.5Interesting79.1Home over 1.5 goals46.7%37%
63
+9.7pp
DrawDraw29%29%
63
0pp
Away winAway win24.4%38%
63
-13.6pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 35%model 47%+12pp
Xmarket 31%model 29%-2pp
2market 41%model 24%-17pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
62
Eligible
62
With a price
62
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.