GRABBLESTATS
Watch🇹🇷 Süper Lig · — · 18:30
versus

Alanyaspor
Beşiktaş

Alanya Oba Stadium · Referee a-d-kayatepe
Pre-match analysis
54%
Both teams to score
AL30
Draw30
BE40
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 13,75Raw implied probability26,7%Sum of the 1X2 book107,1%Operator margin removed−7,1 ptsDe-margined consensus25%Our model29.5%Measured gap+4.5 pp
Markets carrying a signal7 / 66
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away over 2.0 goals—21.7%34%−12.3
Away under 2.0 goals—78.3%66%+12.3
Away over 1.5 goals—40.6%51%−10.4
Away under 1.5 goals—59.4%49%+10.4
Away over 1.0 goals—62.1%72%−9.9
Away under 1.0 goals—37.9%28%+9.9
Away over 2.5 goals—16.5%26%−9.5
Away under 2.5 goals—83.5%74%+9.5
Away win—40%49%−9
Home or draw—60%51%+9
Away draw no bet—57.5%66%−8.5
Home draw no bet—42.4%34%+8.4

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

super-lig · 20:30
ALAALA
BEŞBEŞ
Alanya Oba Stadium · Pre-match analysis
54%
Both teams to score

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
13.753.75•0%
X3.603.60•0%
21.911.90▼-0.01%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Away under 2.0 goals2High Signal86.9Away under 2.0 goals78.3%66%
50
▲+12.3pp
Away under 1.5 goals1.5Interesting81.2Away under 1.5 goals59.4%49%
50
▲+10.4pp
Away under 1.0 goals1Interesting79.7Away under 1.0 goals37.9%28%
50
▲+9.9pp
Away under 2.5 goals2.5Interesting78.5Away under 2.5 goals83.5%74%
50
▲+9.5pp
Home or drawInteresting77Home or draw60%51%
50
▲+9pp
Home draw no betInteresting75.2Home draw no bet42.4%34%
50
▲+8.4pp
Under 3.0 goals3Interesting74.6Under 3.0 goals67.2%59%
50
▲+8.2pp
Home win—Home win29.5%25%
50
▲+4.5pp
Draw—Draw30.4%26%
50
▲+4.4pp
Away win—Away win40%49%
50
▼-9pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 27%model 30%▲+3pp
Xmarket 28%model 30%▲+2pp
2market 53%model 40%▼-13pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
66
Eligible
66
With a price
66
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.