GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Primeira Liga · · 14:30
versus

Nacional
Estrela

Pre-match analysis
59%
Under 2.5 goals
NA49
Draw27
ES24
Head to head
2
NAC
2
Draw
4
EST
juil. 2026ESTNAC20
avr. 2026NACEST20
nov. 2025ESTNAC11
avr. 2025NACEST01
nov. 2024ESTNAC20
mai 2023ESTNAC01
janv. 2023NACEST01
avr. 2022ESTNAC00

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h49%
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Sporting CP7646+28
2SL Benfica7543+23
NACNAC
ESTEST
· Pre-match analysis
59%
Under 2.5 goals

Time Machine

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What changed?

()

Evolution over time

i
NA winDrawES win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260830_af-1575480_210805hv1.9.354%53%

What would have to change

i22.6 pt span
Red card4927.9-21.1
Opponent scores first4946.2-2.8
High tempo4950.5+1.5
Low tempo4947.8-1.2
Key substitution4948-1
Early goal49490

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Head to head

i
2
NA wins
2
Draws
4
ES wins
23 Jul 2026ESTNAC20
4 Apr 2026NACEST20
9 Nov 2025ESTNAC11
6 Apr 2025NACEST01
10 Nov 2024ESTNAC20
21 May 2023ESTNAC01
15 Jan 2023NACEST01
16 Apr 2022ESTNAC00

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

Notes

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