GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Primeira Liga · — · 14:30
versus

Vitória SC
Nacional

— · Referee p-ramalho
Pre-match analysis
59%
Under 2.5 goals
GU46
Draw27
NA27
Head to head
3
GUI
2
Draw
3
NAC
mai 2026NAC — GUI2 – 0
janv. 2026GUI — NAC2 – 1
mai 2025NAC — GUI1 – 2
déc. 2024GUI — NAC2 – 2
avr. 2021NAC — GUI1 – 0
janv. 2021GUI — NAC3 – 1
mai 2019GUI — NAC2 – 2
janv. 2019NAC — GUI1 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h46%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Sporting CP7646+28
2SL Benfica7543+23
Primeira Liga · 16:30
GUIGUI
NACNAC
— · Pre-match analysis
59%
Under 2.5 goals

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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GU winDrawNA win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260823_af-1575472_210805hv1.9.354%47%

What would have to change

i21.6 pt span
Red card46 → 24.9-21.1
Opponent scores first46 → 43.2-2.8
Key substitution46 → 45-1
High tempo46 → 46.5+0.5
Low tempo46 → 45.6-0.4
Early goal46 → 460

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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3
GU wins
2
Draws
3
NA wins
16 May 2026NAC — GUI2 – 0
2 Jan 2026GUI — NAC2 – 1
3 May 2025NAC — GUI1 – 2
23 Dec 2024GUI — NAC2 – 2
26 Apr 2021NAC — GUI1 – 0
21 Jan 2021GUI — NAC3 – 1
5 May 2019GUI — NAC2 – 2
2 Jan 2019NAC — GUI1 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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