GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🌍 Primeira Liga · · 19:30
versus

Sporting CP
Alverca

· Referee f-verissimo
10
Full time
87%
Victoire Sporting CP
SP87
Draw9
AL4
Why
Sporting CP's attack sits at the 98th percentile of the league
Sporting CP takes 2.5 points per game at home, the opponent 0.72 away
Sporting CP has won 4 of its last 6
Sporting CP scores 2.8 goals per game at home
Sporting CP has won 3 of the last 4 meetings
What could fool us
Alverca takes 1.5 points per game at home against 0.72 away — two different sides depending on the ground
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Sporting CP at 87%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

SPOSPO
ALVALV
10
Full time

Final result

i
Confirmed87%Sporting CP win · announced before kick-off
87%
Win SPO
what happened
9%
Draw
4%
Win ALV
87%at opening87%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Why

  • Sporting CP's attack sits at the 98th percentile of the league
  • Sporting CP takes 2.5 points per game at home, the opponent 0.72 away
  • Sporting CP has won 4 of its last 6
  • Sporting CP scores 2.8 goals per game at home
  • Sporting CP has won 3 of the last 4 meetings

What could mislead us

  • Alverca takes 1.5 points per game at home against 0.72 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Home over 2.0 goals2Strength 89.3/100
Home over 2.0 goals
Model
76.1%
Market
63%
Divergence
+13.1

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 76.1%, the market at 63%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

8 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Referee
f-verissimo
Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

iRound 18
#TeamPGDFormPts

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Sporting CP at 87%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions