GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🌍 Primeira Liga · — · 19:30
versus

Sporting CP
Alverca

— · Referee f-verissimo
1 – 0
Full time
87%
Victoire Sporting CP
SP87
Draw9
AL4
Head to head
3
SPO
0
Draw
1
ALV
mars 2026ALV — SPO1 – 4
oct. 2025SPO — ALV2 – 0
oct. 2025SPO — ALV5 – 1
oct. 2019ALV — SPO2 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h87%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Sporting CP7646+28
2SL Benfica7543+23
Primeira Liga · 21:30
SPOSPO
ALVALV
—
1 – 0
Full time

Final result

i
Confirmed✓87%Sporting CP win · announced before kick-off
87%
Win SPO
what happened
9%
Draw
4%
Win ALV
87%at opening→87%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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SP winDrawAL win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260822_af-1575471_210805hv1.9.354%83%

What would have to change

i23.7 pt span
Red card87 → 65.9-21.1
High tempo87 → 83.8-3.2
Opponent scores first87 → 84.2-2.8
Low tempo87 → 89.6+2.6
Key substitution87 → 86-1
Early goal87 → 870

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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3
SP wins
0
Draws
1
AL wins
22 Mar 2026ALV — SPO1 – 4
31 Oct 2025SPO — ALV2 – 0
28 Oct 2025SPO — ALV5 – 1
17 Oct 2019ALV — SPO2 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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