GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🌍 Primeira Liga · — · 17:00
versus

Santa Clara
Famalicao

— · Referee i-vasilica
Pre-match analysis
75%
Under 2.5 goals
SA30
Draw33
FA37
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,65Raw implied probability37,7%Sum of the 1X2 book106,8%Operator margin removed−6,8 ptsDe-margined consensus35%Our model30%Measured gap−5 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 58
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home over 1.0 goals—30.2%52%−21.8
Home under 1.0 goals—69.8%48%+21.8
Over 2.0 goals—34.2%54%−19.8
Under 2.0 goals—65.8%46%+19.8
Under 3.0 goals—88.4%73%+15.4
Over 3.0 goals—11.7%27%−15.3
Over 2.5 goals—25.2%40%−14.8
Under 2.5 goals—74.8%60%+14.8
Both teams to score—33.3%48%−14.7
Both teams to score: no—66.7%52%+14.7
Over 1.5 goals—51.5%66%−14.5
Under 1.5 goals—48.5%34%+14.5

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

Primeira Liga · 19:00
SANSAN
FAMFAM
— · Pre-match analysis
75%
Under 2.5 goals

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
12.552.65▲+0.1%
X3.003.00•0%
22.952.80▼-0.15%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Home under 1.0 goals1High Signal95Home under 1.0 goals69.8%48%
47
▲+21.8pp
Under 2.0 goals2High Signal95Under 2.0 goals65.8%46%
47
▲+19.8pp
Under 3.0 goals3High Signal95Under 3.0 goals88.4%73%
47
▲+15.4pp
Under 2.5 goals2.5High Signal94.4Under 2.5 goals74.8%60%
47
▲+14.8pp
Both teams to score: noHigh Signal94.1Both teams to score: no66.7%52%
47
▲+14.7pp
Under 1.5 goals1.5High Signal93.5Under 1.5 goals48.5%34%
47
▲+14.5pp
Home under 1.5 goals1.5High Signal91.1Home under 1.5 goals80.7%67%
47
▲+13.7pp
Home under 0.5 goals0.5High Signal88.1Home under 0.5 goals44.7%32%
47
▲+12.7pp
Home win—Home win30%35%
47
▼-5pp
Draw—Draw33.1%31%
47
▲+2.1pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 38%model 30%▼-8pp
Xmarket 33%model 33%•0pp
2market 36%model 37%▲+1pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
58
Eligible
58
With a price
58
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.