GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🌍 Primeira Liga · · 19:30
versus

FC Porto
Arouca

· Referee j-pinheiro
Pre-match analysis
78%
Victoire FC Porto
PO78
Draw14
AR8
Why
FC Porto's attack sits at the 88th percentile of the league
Arouca's defence sits at the 25th percentile — among the weakest
FC Porto takes 2.61 points per game at home, the opponent 1.09 away
FC Porto has won 5 of its last 6
FC Porto scores 2 goals per game at home
FC Porto has won 6 of the last 8 meetings
What could fool us
Arouca's attack sits at the 73th percentile of the league
Arouca has won 4 of its last 6
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices FC Porto at 78%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

PORPOR
AROARO
· Pre-match analysis
78%
Victoire PO
78%
POR
14%
Draw
8%
ARO
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • FC Porto's attack sits at the 88th percentile of the league
  • Arouca's defence sits at the 25th percentile — among the weakest
  • FC Porto takes 2.61 points per game at home, the opponent 1.09 away
  • FC Porto has won 5 of its last 6
  • FC Porto scores 2 goals per game at home
  • FC Porto has won 6 of the last 8 meetings

What could mislead us

  • Arouca's attack sits at the 73th percentile of the league
  • Arouca has won 4 of its last 6
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

No market carries a signal on this fixture.

That is a valid and frequent result. The full analysis stays available below.

Context snapshot

Referee
j-pinheiro
Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

iRound 18
#TeamPGDFormPts

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices FC Porto at 78%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions