GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🌍 Primeira Liga · — · 19:30
versus

FC Porto
Arouca

— · Referee j-pinheiro
Pre-match analysis
78%
Victoire FC Porto
PO78
Draw14
AR8
Head to head
6
POR
1
Draw
1
ARO
févr. 2026POR — ARO3 – 1
sept. 2025ARO — POR0 – 4
mars 2025ARO — POR0 – 2
sept. 2024POR — ARO4 – 0
févr. 2024ARO — POR3 – 2
sept. 2023POR — ARO1 – 1
mai 2023ARO — POR0 – 1
janv. 2023POR — ARO4 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h78%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Sporting CP7646+28
2SL Benfica7543+23
Primeira Liga · 21:30
PORPOR
AROARO
— · Pre-match analysis
78%
Victoire PO

Time Machine

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What changed?

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View full timeline

Evolution over time

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PO winDrawAR win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260823_af-1575466_210805hv1.9.354%83%

What would have to change

i23.8 pt span
Red card78 → 56.9-21.1
High tempo78 → 74.6-3.4
Opponent scores first78 → 75.2-2.8
Low tempo78 → 80.7+2.7
Key substitution78 → 77-1
Early goal78 → 780

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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6
PO wins
1
Draws
1
AR wins
27 Feb 2026POR — ARO3 – 1
29 Sept 2025ARO — POR0 – 4
1 Mar 2025ARO — POR0 – 2
29 Sept 2024POR — ARO4 – 0
12 Feb 2024ARO — POR3 – 2
3 Sept 2023POR — ARO1 – 1
8 May 2023ARO — POR0 – 1
11 Jan 2023POR — ARO4 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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