GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Primeira Liga · — · 19:15
versus

Sporting CP
Vitória SC

Estádio José Alvalade
3 – 2
Full time
84%
Victoire Sporting CP
SP84
Draw11
GU5
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h84%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Sporting CP7646+28
2SL Benfica7543+23
Primeira Liga · 21:15
SPOSPO
GUIGUI
Estádio José Alvalade
3 – 2
Full time

Final result

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Confirmed✓84%Sporting CP win · announced before kick-off
84%
Win SPO
what happened
11%
Draw
5%
Win GUI
84%at opening→84%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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SP winDrawGU win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260814_af-1575463_210805hv1.9.354%83%

What would have to change

i23.7 pt span
Red card84 → 62.9-21.1
High tempo84 → 80.8-3.2
Opponent scores first84 → 81.2-2.8
Low tempo84 → 86.6+2.6
Key substitution84 → 83-1
Early goal84 → 840

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Notes

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