GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Primeira Liga · — · 19:30
versus

Rio Ave
FC Porto

Estádio do Rio Ave FC
0 – 2
Full time
68%
Victoire FC Porto
RI12
Draw20
PO68
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h12%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Sporting CP7646+28
2SL Benfica7543+23
Primeira Liga · 21:30
RIORIO
PORPOR
Estádio do Rio Ave FC
0 – 2
Full time

Final result

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Confirmed✓68%FC Porto win · announced before kick-off
12%
Win RIO
20%
Draw
68%
Win POR
what happened
12%at opening→12%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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RI winDrawPO win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260815_af-1575462_210805hv1.9.354%83%

What would have to change

i22.7 pt span
Red card68 → 46.9-21.1
Opponent scores first68 → 65.2-2.8
High tempo68 → 69.6+1.6
Low tempo68 → 66.7-1.3
Key substitution68 → 67-1
Early goal68 → 680

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Notes

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