GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Primeira Liga · — · 14:30
versus

Alverca
Estrela

FC Alverca Sports Complex
2 – 2
Full time
58%
Under 2.5 goals
AL46
Draw27
ES27
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h46%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Sporting CP7646+28
2SL Benfica7543+23
Primeira Liga · 16:30
ALVALV
ESTEST
FC Alverca Sports Complex
2 – 2
Full time

Final result

i
Refuted✕58%Under 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
46%
Win ALV
27%
Draw
what happened
27%
Win EST
46%at opening→46%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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AL winDrawES win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260815_af-1575456_210805hv1.9.354%47%

What would have to change

i22.4 pt span
Red card46 → 24.9-21.1
Opponent scores first46 → 43.2-2.8
High tempo46 → 47.3+1.3
Low tempo46 → 45-1
Key substitution46 → 45-1
Early goal46 → 460

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Notes

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