GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇩🇪 Bundesliga · — · 13:30
versus

RB Leipzig
Borussia Mönchengladbach

Red Bull Arena
Pre-match analysis
59%
Over 2.5 goals
LE56
Draw23
MO21
Head to head
4
LEI
2
Draw
2
MOE
avr. 2026LEI — MOE1 – 0
nov. 2025MOE — LEI0 – 0
mars 2025MOE — LEI1 – 0
nov. 2024LEI — MOE0 – 0
févr. 2024LEI — MOE2 – 0
sept. 2023MOE — LEI0 – 1
mars 2023LEI — MOE3 – 0
sept. 2022MOE — LEI3 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h56%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1FC Bayern München8646+38
4RB Leipzig7534+10
Bundesliga · 15:30
LEILEI
MOEMOE
Red Bull Arena · Pre-match analysis
59%
Over 2.5 goals

Time Machine

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What changed?

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View full timeline

Evolution over time

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LE winDrawMO win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260829_af-1575147_210805hv1.9.354%63%

What would have to change

i21.7 pt span
Red card56 → 34.9-21.1
Opponent scores first56 → 53.2-2.8
Key substitution56 → 55-1
High tempo56 → 55.2-0.8
Low tempo56 → 56.6+0.6
Early goal56 → 560

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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4
LE wins
2
Draws
2
MO wins
11 Apr 2026LEI — MOE1 – 0
28 Nov 2025MOE — LEI0 – 0
29 Mar 2025MOE — LEI1 – 0
9 Nov 2024LEI — MOE0 – 0
17 Feb 2024LEI — MOE2 – 0
23 Sept 2023MOE — LEI0 – 1
11 Mar 2023LEI — MOE3 – 0
17 Sept 2022MOE — LEI3 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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