GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇩🇪 Bundesliga · — · 13:30
versus

1. FC Köln
1899 Hoffenheim

RheinEnergieStadion
Pre-match analysis
69%
Both teams to score
KO33
Draw23
HO44
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,90Raw implied probability34,5%Sum of the 1X2 book105,9%Operator margin removed−5,9 ptsDe-margined consensus33%Our model32.9%Measured gap−0.1 pp
Markets carrying a signal4 / 72
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Over 3.0 goals—60.7%50%+10.7
Under 3.0 goals—39.3%50%−10.7
Over 2.0 goals—84.7%76%+8.7
Under 2.0 goals—15.3%24%−8.7
Away over 2.0 goals—41.5%33%+8.5
Away under 2.0 goals—58.5%67%−8.5
Over 2.5 goals—69.1%61%+8.1
Under 2.5 goals—30.9%39%−8.1
Over 3.5 goals—47.7%40%+7.7
Under 3.5 goals—52.3%60%−7.7
Over 4.0 goals—35.4%28%+7.4
Under 4.0 goals—64.6%72%−7.4

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

Bundesliga · 15:30
KOLKOL
HOFHOF
RheinEnergieStadion · Pre-match analysis
69%
Both teams to score

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
12.902.90•0%
X3.653.65•0%
22.272.27•0%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Over 3.0 goals3Interesting82.1Over 3.0 goals60.7%50%
61
▲+10.7pp
Over 2.0 goals2Interesting76.1Over 2.0 goals84.7%76%
61
▲+8.7pp
Away over 2.0 goals2Interesting75.5Away over 2.0 goals41.5%33%
61
▲+8.5pp
Over 2.5 goals2.5Interesting74.3Over 2.5 goals69.1%61%
61
▲+8.1pp
Home win—Home win32.9%33%
61
▼-0.1pp
Draw—Draw22.6%26%
61
▼-3.4pp
Away win—Away win44.4%42%
61
▲+2.4pp
Home or draw—Home or draw55.6%60%
61
▼-4.4pp
Home or away—Home or away77.4%73%
61
▲+4.4pp
Draw or away—Draw or away67.1%67%
61
▲+0.1pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 34%model 33%▼-1pp
Xmarket 27%model 23%▼-4pp
2market 44%model 44%•0pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
72
Eligible
72
With a price
72
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.