GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇩🇪 Bundesliga · — · 18:30
versus

Bayern München
VfB Stuttgart

Allianz Arena
Pre-match analysis
86%
Over 2.5 goals
BA74
Draw14
ST12
Head to head
7
BAY
0
Draw
1
STU
mai 2026BAY — STU3 – 0
avr. 2026BAY — STU4 – 2
déc. 2025STU — BAY0 – 5
août 2025STU — BAY1 – 2
févr. 2025STU — BAY1 – 3
oct. 2024BAY — STU4 – 0
mai 2024STU — BAY3 – 1
déc. 2023BAY — STU3 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h74%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1FC Bayern München8646+38
4RB Leipzig7534+10
Bundesliga · 20:30
BAYBAY
STUSTU
Allianz Arena · Pre-match analysis
86%
Over 2.5 goals

Time Machine

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What changed?

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View full timeline

Evolution over time

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BA winDrawST win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260828_af-1575140_210805hv1.9.354%83%

What would have to change

i23.8 pt span
Red card74 → 52.9-21.1
High tempo74 → 70.6-3.4
Opponent scores first74 → 71.2-2.8
Low tempo74 → 76.7+2.7
Key substitution74 → 73-1
Early goal74 → 740

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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7
BA wins
0
Draws
1
ST wins
23 May 2026BAY — STU3 – 0
19 Apr 2026BAY — STU4 – 2
6 Dec 2025STU — BAY0 – 5
16 Aug 2025STU — BAY1 – 2
28 Feb 2025STU — BAY1 – 3
19 Oct 2024BAY — STU4 – 0
4 May 2024STU — BAY3 – 1
17 Dec 2023BAY — STU3 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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