GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇩🇪 Bundesliga · · 18:30
versus

Bayern München
VfB Stuttgart

Allianz Arena
Pre-match analysis
86%
Over 2.5 goals
BA74
Draw14
ST12
Why
Bayern München takes 2.59 points per game at home, the opponent 1.59 away
What could fool us
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Bayern München at 74%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

BAYBAY
STUSTU
Allianz Arena · Pre-match analysis
86%
Over 2.5 goals
74%
BAY
14%
Draw
12%
STU
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Bayern München takes 2.59 points per game at home, the opponent 1.59 away

What could mislead us

  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Away over 1.0 goals1Strength 95/100
Away over 1.0 goals
Model
63.8%
Market
47%
Divergence
+16.8

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 63.8%, the market at 47%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

8 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

iRound 19
#TeamPGDFormPts

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Bayern München at 74%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions