GRABBLESTATS
Watch🇪🇸 La Liga · — · 19:30
versus

Sevilla
Atletico Madrid

—
Pre-match analysis
54%
Both teams to score
SE35
Draw25
AT40
Head to head
2
SEV
1
Draw
5
ATM
avr. 2026SEV — ATM2 – 1
nov. 2025ATM — SEV3 – 0
avr. 2025SEV — ATM1 – 2
déc. 2024ATM — SEV4 – 3
févr. 2024SEV — ATM1 – 0
janv. 2024ATM — SEV1 – 0
déc. 2023ATM — SEV1 – 0
août 2023SEV — ATM1 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h35%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
2FC Barcelona8445+34
17Valencia CF6318−15
La Liga · 21:30
SEVSEV
ATMATM
— · Pre-match analysis
54%
Both teams to score

Time Machine

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What changed?

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View full timeline

Evolution over time

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SE winDrawAT win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260829_af-1570362_210805hv1.9.354%43%

What would have to change

i21.7 pt span
Red card40 → 18.9-21.1
Opponent scores first40 → 37.2-2.8
Key substitution40 → 39-1
High tempo40 → 39.3-0.7
Low tempo40 → 40.6+0.6
Early goal40 → 400

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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2
SE wins
1
Draws
5
AT wins
11 Apr 2026SEV — ATM2 – 1
1 Nov 2025ATM — SEV3 – 0
6 Apr 2025SEV — ATM1 – 2
8 Dec 2024ATM — SEV4 – 3
11 Feb 2024SEV — ATM1 – 0
25 Jan 2024ATM — SEV1 – 0
23 Dec 2023ATM — SEV1 – 0
6 Aug 2023SEV — ATM1 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

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Notes

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