GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇪🇸 La Liga · — · 17:30
versus

Osasuna
Levante

Estadio El Sadar
Pre-match analysis
54%
Both teams to score
OS47
Draw24
LE29
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,83Raw implied probability54,6%Sum of the 1X2 book104,6%Operator margin removed−4,6 ptsDe-margined consensus52%Our model46.6%Measured gap−5.4 pp
Markets carrying a signal4 / 66
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away over 1.0 goals—51.6%40%+11.6
Away under 1.0 goals—48.4%60%−11.6
Home draw no bet—61.4%70%−8.6
Away draw no bet—38.6%30%+8.6
Away win—29.3%21%+8.3
Away over 0.5 goals—69.2%61%+8.2
Away under 0.5 goals—30.8%39%−8.2
Home clean sheet—30.8%39%−8.2
Home or draw—70.7%78%−7.3
Away over 1.5 goals—32.9%26%+6.9
Away under 1.5 goals—67.1%74%−6.9
Home win—46.6%52%−5.4

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

La Liga · 19:30
OSAOSA
LEVLEV
Estadio El Sadar · Pre-match analysis
54%
Both teams to score

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
11.831.83•0%
X3.603.60•0%
24.334.50▲+0.17%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Away over 1.0 goals1Interesting84.8Away over 1.0 goals51.6%40%
63
▲+11.6pp
Away draw no betInteresting75.8Away draw no bet38.6%30%
63
▲+8.6pp
Away winInteresting74.9Away win29.3%21%
63
▲+8.3pp
Away over 0.5 goals0.5Interesting74.6Away over 0.5 goals69.2%61%
63
▲+8.2pp
Home win—Home win46.6%52%
63
▼-5.4pp
Draw—Draw24.1%27%
63
▼-2.9pp
Home or draw—Home or draw70.7%78%
63
▼-7.3pp
Home or away—Home or away75.9%74%
63
▲+1.9pp
Draw or away—Draw or away53.4%48%
63
▲+5.4pp
Home draw no bet—Home draw no bet61.4%70%
63
▼-8.6pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 55%model 47%▼-8pp
Xmarket 28%model 24%▼-4pp
2market 22%model 29%▲+7pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
66
Eligible
66
With a price
66
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.