GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇪🇸 La Liga · — · 19:30
versus

Espanyol
Real Madrid

RCDE Stadium
1 – 1
Full time
56%
Victoire Real Madrid
ES21
Draw23
RE56
Head to head
2
ESP
0
Draw
6
REA
mai 2026ESP — REA0 – 2
sept. 2025REA — ESP2 – 0
févr. 2025ESP — REA1 – 0
sept. 2024REA — ESP4 – 1
mars 2023REA — ESP3 – 1
août 2022ESP — REA1 – 3
avr. 2022REA — ESP4 – 0
oct. 2021ESP — REA2 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h21%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
2FC Barcelona8445+34
17Valencia CF6318−15
La Liga · 21:30
ESPESP
REAREA
RCDE Stadium
1 – 1
Full time

Final result

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Refuted✕56%Real Madrid win · announced before kick-off
21%
Win ESP
23%
Draw
what happened
56%
Win REA
17%at opening→21%at kick-off−7 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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ES winDrawRE win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260822_af-1570347_210805hv1.9.354%63%

What would have to change

i21.3 pt span
Red card56 → 34.9-21.1
Opponent scores first56 → 53.2-2.8
Key substitution56 → 55-1
High tempo56 → 55.7-0.3
Low tempo56 → 56.2+0.2
Early goal56 → 560

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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2
ES wins
0
Draws
6
RE wins
3 May 2026ESP — REA0 – 2
20 Sept 2025REA — ESP2 – 0
1 Feb 2025ESP — REA1 – 0
21 Sept 2024REA — ESP4 – 1
11 Mar 2023REA — ESP3 – 1
28 Aug 2022ESP — REA1 – 3
30 Apr 2022REA — ESP4 – 0
3 Oct 2021ESP — REA2 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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