No signal🇪🇸 La Liga · — · 18:30
versus
Celta Vigo
Osasuna
—
Pre-match analysis
58%
Victoire Celta Vigo
CE58
Draw22
OS20
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,00Raw implied probability50,0%Sum of the 1X2 book106,3%Operator margin removed−6,3 ptsDe-margined consensus47%Our model58.1%Measured gap+11.1 pp
Markets carrying a signal5 / 62
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home over 2.0 goals—36.7%25%+11.7
Home under 2.0 goals—63.3%75%−11.7
Home over 1.0 goals—76.5%65%+11.5
Home under 1.0 goals—23.5%35%−11.5
Home win—58.1%47%+11.1
Draw or away—41.9%52%−10.1
Home over 1.5 goals—53.7%44%+9.7
Home under 1.5 goals—46.3%56%−9.7
Home draw no bet—74.6%65%+9.6
Away draw no bet—25.5%35%−9.5
Away clean sheet—16.5%25%−8.5
Over 2.0 goals—67.7%60%+7.7
A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.